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Real vs. Nominal Yield

The 10-year nominal Treasury yield decomposed into its real (10-year TIPS) yield and the implied inflation breakeven. Real yields are the true cost of capital and the dominant driver of valuations for long-duration assets (tech, gold, growth). A rising nominal yield driven by real rates is a very different signal than one driven by inflation expectations.

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Real vs. Nominal Yield — as of 2026-08-11
DateNominalRealBreakeven
2026-08-114.72.432.27
2026-08-104.722.432.29
2026-08-074.652.42.25
2026-08-064.692.432.26
2026-08-054.632.412.22
2026-08-044.632.42.23
2026-08-034.72.432.27
2026-07-314.752.472.28
2026-07-304.682.412.27
2026-07-294.672.412.26
2026-07-284.612.412.2
2026-07-274.652.442.21
2026-07-244.692.432.26
2026-07-234.712.432.28
2026-07-224.672.392.28
2026-07-214.632.372.26
2026-07-204.62.352.25
2026-07-174.552.312.24
2026-07-164.572.352.22
2026-07-154.552.322.23

Source: Akyla · akyla.ai