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Real vs. Nominal Yield

The 10-year nominal Treasury yield decomposed into its real (10-year TIPS) yield and the implied inflation breakeven. Real yields are the true cost of capital and the dominant driver of valuations for long-duration assets (tech, gold, growth). A rising nominal yield driven by real rates is a very different signal than one driven by inflation expectations.

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Real vs. Nominal Yield — as of 2026-08-10
DateRealNominalBreakeven
2026-08-102.434.722.29
2026-08-072.44.652.25
2026-08-062.434.692.26
2026-08-052.414.632.22
2026-08-042.44.632.23
2026-08-032.434.72.27
2026-07-312.474.752.28
2026-07-302.414.682.27
2026-07-292.414.672.26
2026-07-282.414.612.2
2026-07-272.444.652.21
2026-07-242.434.692.26
2026-07-232.434.712.28
2026-07-222.394.672.28
2026-07-212.374.632.26
2026-07-202.354.62.25
2026-07-172.314.552.24
2026-07-162.354.572.22
2026-07-152.324.552.23
2026-07-142.334.582.25

Source: Akyla · akyla.ai