Markets / Rates
Inflation Breakevens
Market-implied inflation expectations from TIPS: the 5-year and 10-year breakeven rates plus the 5-year, 5-year forward — the Fed’s preferred gauge of long-run inflation expectations. Breakevens are the difference between nominal and real (inflation-protected) yields; watch the 5y5y forward as the anchor for whether inflation expectations stay "well-anchored."
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| Be5 | Be10 | Date | Fwd5y5y |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 2.22 | 2026-11-09 | 2.19 |
| 2.29 | 2.23 | 2026-11-06 | 2.17 |
| 2.26 | 2.24 | 2026-11-05 | 2.22 |
| 2.3 | 2.26 | 2026-11-04 | 2.22 |
| 2.39 | 2.3 | 2026-11-03 | 2.21 |
| 2.39 | 2.29 | 2026-11-02 | 2.19 |
| 2.46 | 2.34 | 2026-10-30 | 2.22 |
| 2.47 | 2.35 | 2026-10-29 | 2.23 |
| 2.49 | 2.38 | 2026-10-28 | 2.27 |
| 2.45 | 2.35 | 2026-10-27 | 2.25 |
| 2.47 | 2.34 | 2026-10-26 | 2.21 |
| 2.48 | 2.34 | 2026-10-23 | 2.2 |
| 2.45 | 2.32 | 2026-10-22 | 2.19 |
| 2.4 | 2.37 | 2026-10-21 | 2.34 |
| 2.39 | 2.35 | 2026-10-20 | 2.31 |
| 2.38 | 2.35 | 2026-10-19 | 2.32 |
| 2.37 | 2.35 | 2026-10-16 | 2.33 |
| 2.33 | 2.32 | 2026-10-15 | 2.31 |
| 2.36 | 2.35 | 2026-10-14 | 2.34 |
| 2.33 | 2.33 | 2026-10-13 | 2.33 |
Source: Akyla · akyla.ai
Akyla / MarketsSource: FRED / U.S. Treasury