Guide to the Markets

Guide to the Markets

Equities Top 5 Gainers & Losers CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)US Large Caps Sector Performance Advance-Decline Line 10-Year Treasury Yield FX Dashboard Equity Correlations

US Large Caps at Inflection Points Shiller CAPE & P/E Ratio P/E Ratios and Equity Returns US Large Caps EPS Growth Revenue, EPS & Cash Flow Growth Top 10: Weight & Valuation Magnificent 7 Top 10 Companies by Decade US Large Caps Earnings Growth by Sector Valuation Dispersion Stock Volume Returns and Valuations by Sector Annual Returns and Intra-Year Declines Returns and Valuations by Style Fama-French Factors Impact of Missing the Best and Worst Days

Components of GDP Growth Nonfarm Payroll Gains Unemployment Rate and Annual Wage Growth JOLTS Labor Force Growth Labor Force Participation Small Business Problems: Quality & Cost of Labor Inflation Components The U.S. Dollar The U.S. Trade Balance Developed Markets Interest Rate Differentials Capex from Major AI Hyperscalers Hyperscalers' Cash Flow and Capex Businesses Using AI Companies Spending on AI Models & Tools AI Agent Deployment Tariffs on U.S. Imports Net Worth Growth by Income Cohort Consumer Income and Spending Share Average Income Tax Refund by Filing Year Consumer Balance Sheet Household Debt Service Ratio Flows into Early Delinquencies The 2025 Federal Budget Federal Deficit and Net Interest Payments Federal Net Debt (Accumulated Deficits)Consumer Sentiment and US Large Caps Returns Federal Funds Rate Expectations Length of Expansions and Recessions Length and Severity of Bear and Bull Markets

Nominal and Real U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields U.S. Treasury Yield Curve The Shape of the Yield Curve Corporate Credit Spreads Fixed Income Yields Global Fixed Income

G10 Currency Correlations Bollinger Band Movers G10 Currency Performance

Notable Insider Purchases US Large Caps Historical Data Coverage Identifier Spot Checks Challenging Companies Validation Data Gap Analysis

P/E Ratios and Equity Returns

Forward P/E at year-end vs subsequent 1-year and 5-year annualized returns. Higher starting valuations correlate more strongly with lower long-term returns (R² rises from ~5% to ~30%).

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